吉林省农村居民消费结构的影响因素研究摘要新发展格局需要构建以国内大循环为主要内容的双循环发展战略,因此,对农村居民的消费潜能进行研究,扩大消费实现“双循环”发展战略以及实现2035年基本实现现代化,最终实现共同富裕具有重要意义。为此,本文探讨了2007-2021年吉林省农村居民消费结构的影响因素。首先,本文引入了相关的消费理论,并总结、整理了国内外的相关研究成果,基于这一点,从多个方面分析了吉林省农村消费的状况,从而找出了它在发展过程中出现的一些问题:其次,我们从农村居民可支配收入、消费支出、农村居民消费价格指数以及国内生产总值等方面出发,采用多元线性回归的方法,对吉林省消费结构中的多种影响因素进行了实证研究。实证研究结果显示各因素对消费结构有较为显著的激励作用:最后根据实证得出的问题针对性的提出了政策建议。关键词:农村居民消费结构:恩格尔系数:多元线性回归ABSTRACTThe new development pattern requires the construction of a dual cycle developmentstrategy with domestic circulation as the main content.Therefore,it is of great significance tostudy the consumption potential of rural residents,expand consumption to achieve the "dualcycle"development strategy,and achieve basic modernization by 2035,ultimately achievingcommon prosperity.Therefore,this article explores the influencing factors of the consumptionstructure of rural residents in Jilin Province from 2007 to 2021.Firstly,this article introducesrelevant consumption theories and summarizes and organizes relevant research results at homeand abroad.Based on this,it analyzes the situation of rural consumption in Jilin Province frommultiple aspects,and identifies some problems that have arisen in its development process;Secondly,we conducted empirical research on various influencing factors in the consumptionstructure of our province using multiple linear regression methods,starting from the aspects ofdisposable income,consumption expenditure,rural consumer price index,and gross domesticproduct of rural residents.The empirical research results show that various factors have asignificant incentive effect on consumption structure;Finally,targeted policy recommendationswere proposed based on empirical findings.Keywords:Rural residents'consumption structure;Engel's coefficient;Multiple linearregression目录第1章绪论…1.1研究的目的与意义1.2研究现状....第2章相关概念界定与理论基础.…22.1居民消费结构........…22.2生命周期消费理论.·。....2第3章吉林省农村居民消费结构现状33.1吉林省农村居民消费水平的变动趋势分析...……33.2吉林省农村居民消费结构的构成...................43.2.1吉林省农村居民消费结构的构成.............43.2.2吉林省农村居民食品、衣着类消费品的支出现状.....43.2.3吉林省农村居民居住类消费支出现状…53.2.4吉林省农村居民其他消费支出现状.............53.3吉林省农村居民消费结构的变动..6第4章吉林省农村居民消费结构的影响因素实证分析..74.1建立实证模型......74.1.1变量指标的选取..…74.1.2变量数据的来源..4.1.3回归模型的建立..74.2实证分析...……84.2.1经济意义检验..4.2.2统计检验.....……84.2.3计量经济检验.....….943检验结果分析.…….11第5章激发吉林省农村居民的消费活力,改善居民消费结构的建议及对策.115.1大力推行积极财政政策,适度提高对教育的支出。…115.2完善农村公共服务与基础设施建设扩大发展型消费..........125.3政府建设就业服务市场,有效促进农村居民收入来源多元化......12结论.13参考文献14致谢..5
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